Tuesday Severe Weather Threat in North TX

April 8, 2008 at 6:23 am | Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Main Risk

isolated baseball size hail, damaging t-storm wind gusts to 75mph


Risk Area

Generally northeast of a line from Wichita Falls to Weatherford to Lufkin (including metroplex)



from 2pm to 10pm



A cold front moving across OK and TX today will provide the lift for strong and severe storms this afternoon, shifting east of the metroplex this evening.  A capping layer in the atmosphere will likely prevent storms from forming in North TX this morning, but as the front approaches this afternoon, storms will form, first in Southern OK, then spreading S into North TX by late afternoon and evening.


This Week:

Today’s cold front will stall, and then retreat north as a warm front tomorrow.  This, combined with an even stronger upper low will generate a more significant risk of severe storms on Wednesday.  The warm front location tomorrow will be critical to the severe weather forecast.  It will provide enough low-level focus to enhance the tornado threat on Wednesday.


Risk Table:

Severe T-Storm/Tornado Watch

DMA:  60%

Metroplex:  50%


Severe T-Storm Warning

DMA:  60%

Metroplex:  40%


Tornado Warning:

DMA:  30%

Metroplex: 15%


Leave a Comment »

RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URI

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )


Connecting to %s

Create a free website or blog at WordPress.com.
Entries and comments feeds.

%d bloggers like this: