Severe Weather Outlook for Sunday/Sunday night

March 2, 2008 at 1:13 pm | Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

There is a risk of severe weather across North TX, including the metroplex, this afternoon and evening.

While an isolated tornado can’t be ruled out, the main threats are hail to quarter size and thunderstorm winds of 70mph. There is also a risk of flash flooding. Local spots could see more than 3 inches of rain by noon Monday.

Strong south winds of 30-40mph will sweep deep moisture across North TX today. As an upper level low moves to our north, enough vertical motion may allow for a few scattered t-storms to develop this afternoon.

The main risk of severe weather will occur this evening and in the early morning hours. A strong cold front will blast in. A line of strong and severe storms will develop along this front and move across North TX late this evening. The linear nature of these storms will limit the tornado threat, but any storms that develop ahead of the line, or in broken line segments or bow echoes could have an enhanced tornado potential.

By Monday morning, strong NW will pick up. Overnight temsp should be in the upper 50s until the front arrives in the early hours Monday. Once the front blows through, NW winds will usher in much colder temps. We’ll be in the 30s by Monday afternoon, with wind chills in the teens and 20s.

Some snow will mix in with patches of light rain Monday afternoon, mainly North of I-20. A few snow flakes will even be possible in the metroplex. No accumulations in the metroplex, but we might see a dusting north of a Denton to McKinney line.

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