Saturday Severe weather risk

February 16, 2008 at 1:21 pm | Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

There is a high risk of severe weather today in North Texas, especially this afternoon.

Main Threats:
Hail to golfball size – all of North TX
Tornadoes – East of a line from Bonham to Corsicana

Time:
Hail threat: 6am to 5pm
Tornado threat: Noon to 5pm

A low pressure, cold front, warm front and strong upper low will all be players in our weather today. This morning, a low pressure over the hill country will move to the northeast into southeastern Oklahoma. East of this low pressure, a warm front will focus low level winds and be the main area for amplified tornado potential. As the upper low moves across North Texas today, severe thunderstorms will be possible across all of the area, but especially along the warm front and cold front.

As the upper low moves east of I-35 by late afternoon, the severe weather risk will end from west to east in North Texas.

Threat table:

severe t-storm/tornado watch:
DMA: 75% Metroplex: 50%

severe t-storm warning:
DMA: 100% Metroplex: 40%

tornado warning:
DMA: 50% Metroplex: 10%

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