Hurricane Emily Nearing Landfall Sunday Night

July 18, 2005 at 2:10 am | Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Hurricane Emily is a monster storm. Saturday evening, Emily’s winds were up to 155mph (one mile per hour shy of category 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale). The storm will make landfall on Sunday evening near Cozumel and Cancun on Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula. It will make landfall as a category 4 storm and may provide up to a foot of rain to some areas; and a coastal storm surge of up to 12 feet above normal.

Emily may lose some strength over land, but will re-emerge in the Gulf of Mexico and gain power as it moves toward Texas for mid-week. Current forecast tracks take the storm south of Brownsville. If the track goes further north, Corpus Christi and Brownsville could take a direct hit, but at this point, it looks like the eye will miss Texas. But as the eye goes to the south, it creates a huge on-shore flow for the southern Texas coast and that means coastal flooding.

At this point, it looks like North Texas will miss out on some very beneficial rains from the remnants of Emily. A few storms are possible, but the bulk of the moisture will slide across Mexico then up toward the four-corners region of the United States; too far to the west to bring us the precipiation that we need.

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